With flying taxis already on the horizon, the future of transportation is here. We’re handing out tickets to this brave new world, so which add-on are you choosing?
If you choose sustainability, we have industry reports on green logistics. If you’re after accessibility, we have government investments to show for it.
If you’re skeptical, we’ll come clean and show you the challenges that transportation management is facing.
Whatever your motivation, read on for a peek into future transportation systems!
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Article Roadmap
- What Is the Future of Transportation?
- Future Transportation Trends
- The Current Landscape
- Common Challenges
- Next Steps
Key Takeaways
- The transportation industry is shifting towards alternative fuels like electricity and hydrogen to replace gasoline/diesel vehicles and meet sustainability goals.
- Major advancements are being made in autonomous vehicles, aerial drones, hyperloop and maglev trains to improve safety, increase efficiency and meet transportation demands.
- Micromobility solutions like e-bikes/scooters and automated last-mile delivery are rising for sustainable urban transportation and logistics.
What Is the Future of Transportation?
At a cursory glance, the future of mobility is an era in which autonomous vehicles, electric propulsion and advanced logistics solutions are commonplace.
High-speed rail systems and hyperloop technology dramatically reduce travel times, while robots and urban air mobility open a whole new dimension for cargo and passenger transport.
Transportation trends for 2024 signal a clear shift of focus to:
- Accessible public transit through zero-fare travel
- Alternative fuels through the adoption of electric vehicles
- Automation in logistics through delivery drones
The industry hopes to cement these steps in the future and change the way we move and connect.
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Future Transportation Trends
We’re ready to unveil the transportation of the future.
Expect hyperloop trains racing at the speed of sound, electric vehicles gliding silently through city streets and hydrogen fuels powering long-haul journeys!
Let’s read their stories.
Alternate Fuels
A wealth of green transportation technologies is ready to take the spotlight, with alternative fuels ranging from old reserves like electricity and biofuels to newcomers like compressed natural gas (CNG), liquefied natural gas (LNG), nuclear energy and hydrogen.
In the United States, California imposed laws prohibiting the sale of new gasoline-powered cars by 2035, driving the use of EVs and other zero-emission vehicles.
In December 2023, there were 107 hydrogen refueling stations in the United States, almost all of them in California, with an outlier in Hawaii. Likewise, there are projects to open new points of sale on the East Coast, especially in New York, Washington and Florida. The most advanced projects are in New York.
According to McKinsey, Transitioning from running expenditure-heavy paths like FAME, HVO and HEFA to capex-heavy ones like bio-based gasification-FT, alcohol-to-jet, synthetic PtL or methanol-to-jet may need significant capital recovery support.
McKinsey estimates that this transformation will require low-cost financing and government assistance to ensure the financial viability of capex-intensive providers. Government support is critical in this shift, and it has potential effects on both the supply and demand sides.
Elaine L. Chao, former United States Secretary of Transportation, remarked on the obstacles companies face in securing government funding:
These formerly abstract ideas, evocative of science fiction, have now matured into physical prototypes and project proposals. Inventors, investors and stakeholders are ready to build out these technologies. Yet too often when they come to USDOT to obtain the necessary safety authorizations, permits, and, in some cases, funding, they are unsure which part of the Department has jurisdiction.
So, I have directed the creation of a new Non-Traditional and Emerging Transportation Technologies (NETT) Council, as a one-stop-shop for new, cross-modal technologies. This will help ensure that the traditional modal structures at USDOT do not impede the deployment of new technology.”
Is the view of future transportation one where refueling stations and charging hubs dot the landscapes instead of familiar fuel pumps? Only time will tell.
Autonomous Vehicles
Imagine gliding above gridlocked roads with your goods delivered via the sky – it’s the future we never knew we needed.
The deployment of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) isn’t just fascinating; it’s a growing industry set to explode. Recorded at a market size of $24,717.44 million in 2020, its value is projected to catapult to $70,910.54 million by 2030.
Besides being awe-inspiring, autonomous vehicles are a possible way to improve road safety.
According to the World Health Organization, car accidents kill over 1.35 million people worldwide each year. With the incorporation of artificial intelligence in automobiles, we could expect this figure to fall.
The key players in this market, including Elon Musk’s Tesla, General Motors and Elbit Systems Ltd., are busy shaping the future of transportation.
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Maglev Trains
With six operational systems worldwide, these high-speed carriers, capable of reaching speeds of more than 300 miles per hour, are attracting global attention.
The Shanghai Transrapid, which now holds the record, travels at a staggering 270 miles per hour.
Linimo, Japan’s only maglev, has been transporting people since 2005.
Despite its inception in the 1960s, the technology has produced ambitious innovations in recent years, such as the buzzworthy Hyperloop.
However, obstacles exist to widespread maglev use, including high costs, infrastructure needs and integration issues with current rail networks.
With traffic congestion and delayed travel times becoming dreaded truths, enthusiasts of this transportation mode claim that maglev technology may be the much-needed ignition switch.
The Rise of Micromobility
Micromobility refers to a class of small, lightweight vehicles meant for personal use that typically travel at speeds less than 15 mph. Bicycles, e-bikes, electric scooters, electric skateboards and other personal transporters have become popular for short-distance travel in metropolitan areas.
The concept closely ties into the larger goals of improving urban transportation sustainability and tackling the difficulties of congestion and pollution in densely populated regions.
Micromobility is transforming the future of transportation with its green and lightweight solutions.
Features, like predicted range times, address user concerns about “range anxiety,” resulting in a more seamless riding experience.
Angelino Capretti, Founder of Urbeez, commented on the ways the repair industry is gaining traction through the adoption of micromobility:
As micromobility further matures as a trend, we think the repair industry is expected to surpass the manufacturing industry in the near future.
With the growing focus on sustainability and reducing waste, consumers are increasingly opting for repairing and fixing their possessions, rather than buying new ones.
This shift towards repair is not only beneficial for the environment, but it also creates job opportunities and fosters local economies.”
What’s the adoption pattern for this intelligent transportation mode?
Here’s a quick breakdown of motivators and inhibitors of this mobility mode’s usage.
Startups like TIER Mobility are pioneering collaborative charging networks to improve transportation in the future.
Future goals of the sector include integrating micromobility into shared public transportation platforms, promoting sustainability and improving user experiences.
Futuristic Freight
The pandemic revealed supply chain vulnerabilities that affect the future of freight.
The result prompted an emphasis on nearshoring and onshoring, which move business operations closer to consumers. There’s also a strong drive for sustainability, with more than $13 billion invested in battery production plants this year.
These developments will be driven by advances in data science, material science and engineering, transforming transportation.
According to the same Deloitte survey, nearly half of those surveyed (48%) intend to use data to boost asset and product visibility during the next three years. This transition occurs as new rivals enter the transportation industry, including cloud platform vendors and megaretailers.
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The Current Landscape
So, what led humanity here? A quick review of the current industry outlook has the answer.
- Innovations are significantly reshaping the transportation sector’s value chains. The research and development (R&D) wing of the transportation value chain spearheads innovation and is creating products with strong intellectual property protection.
- Collaboration and open platforms promote ideas of inclusive and accessible transportation of the future.
- Global supply chain management experiences procurement complexities, driving the industry to explore big data and connected machines for enhanced operations.
- Logistics and freight transportation are gradually moving towards autonomous operations, marking a significant transition in the transportation landscape.
- Automated vehicles in last-mile logistics offer efficient and eco-friendly delivery solutions.
- The fourth industrial revolution is impacting supply chain management, integrating advanced technologies to streamline processes and boost productivity. Artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of Things (IoT), blockchain and mobility as a service (MaaS) are ushering in a new era of interconnected and intelligent transportation.
Common Challenges
The road to success, as they say, is always under construction. Here are a few hiccups the sector is facing on the way to its vision.
Labor Shortages
It’s difficult to imagine that transportation will be completely crewless in the future, yet the sector is facing a significant staff shortage.
Swiftly’s State of Public Transit report for 2023 revealed that vehicular operations saw the greatest labor shortage, at 95%. Maintenance and dispatch ranked next, with staff deficits of 65% and 48%, respectively.
Economic conditions, legislative changes, and geopolitical events all add to the complexity, interrupting supply chains, raising fuel prices and causing market volatility.
Environmental Impact and Emissions
Environmental concerns compel the sector to adopt emission-reducing technologies and sustainable practices.
Businesses are trying to use alternative fuels, optimize truckloads, apply route optimization tactics and promote fuel-efficient driving techniques.
Embracing public transit, driverless trucks, AI, IoT sensors and digital freight networks is vital, but so is assuring data security.
New Technology Adoption
Digitization helps businesses integrate TMS platforms with ERP systems, CRM solutions and more. In theory, digitalization should improve business profitability or even calculate driver working hours automatically.
However, reconfiguring processes to match new techniques and data security is a substantial challenge for companies that have built their own processes over time.
Geopolitical Events and Trade Relations
Tensions between nations, trade wars, protectionism, the impact of the US-China Trade War, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine conflict are all examples of massive supply chain disruptors.
Global supply chains face substantial threats like supply chain weaponization, cyberattacks, de-dollarization dynamics and vital resource rivalry.
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Next Steps
Can future mobility modes resolve some of those challenges? We’re yet to find out. Our collective goal is clear: to shape a safer, more efficient and environmentally responsible future of transportation.
An exciting blend of innovations, growing consumer demands and urgent environmental initiatives are driving the future of transportation. Collaboration between the government and private sectors is a pivotal force for progress.
Interested in learning which TMS products can support our shared goals? Read our free comparison report to explore capabilities like route optimization, fleet management and more.
Which aspect of the future of transportation are you most excited about? Comment below!